Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000953 0.001091 0.001230 0.001380 0.001535 0.001692 0.001862
2026-02-08 0.000749 0.000948 0.001156 0.001384 0.001628 0.001878 0.002153
2026-02-15 0.000596 0.000841 0.001103 0.001400 0.001721 0.002056 0.002429
2026-02-22 0.000480 0.000759 0.001069 0.001426 0.001820 0.002236 0.002702
2026-03-01 0.000362 0.000662 0.001008 0.001416 0.001874 0.002362 0.002914
2026-03-08 0.000252 0.000560 0.000932 0.001383 0.001896 0.002449 0.003080
2026-03-15 0.000184 0.000500 0.000900 0.001394 0.001965 0.002584 0.003294
2026-03-22 0.000120 0.000434 0.000854 0.001386 0.002007 0.002687 0.003471
2026-03-29 0.000080 0.000395 0.000838 0.001409 0.002083 0.002825 0.003685
2026-04-05 0.000040 0.000342 0.000799 0.001402 0.002122 0.002920 0.003848
2026-04-12 0.000008 0.000279 0.000741 0.001368 0.002126 0.002974 0.003965
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000215 0.000674 0.001319 0.002111 0.003002 0.004051
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000156 0.000617 0.001295 0.002142 0.003104 0.004242
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000114 0.000582 0.001299 0.002206 0.003245 0.004479
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000083 0.000556 0.001313 0.002283 0.003401 0.004733
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000059 0.000540 0.001338 0.002373 0.003571 0.005003
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000030 0.000500 0.001328 0.002418 0.003688 0.005212
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000006 0.000447 0.001295 0.002432 0.003768 0.005378
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000426 0.001306 0.002499 0.003908 0.005612
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000394 0.001298 0.002541 0.004017 0.005807
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000383 0.001321 0.002621 0.004171 0.006054
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000355 0.001313 0.002662 0.004276 0.006243
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001280 0.002667 0.004338 0.006382